All posts in " Interest Rates "

Is it the Elections or Interest Rates?

October 27, 2018

QUESTION: Dear Marty, Thanks for the continuous enlightening blogs about increasing interest rates and its effects on EM’s and others. Today on Bloomberg , they were discussing that the earlier 60:40 Equity bond correlation is breaking down and now it’s 100:0 i.e. both go up and down together. If I understand your view correctly , the […]

It Ain’t Interest Rates – It’s the Elections Stupid!

October 14, 2018

Jeff Bezos of Amazon loses about $80 million for every dollar the stock goes down.  No billionaire was hit as hard by the drop this week in the share market than Jeff Bezos. During the Wednesday selloff alone, the Amazon founder and CEO lost more than $9 billion. This is how they measure people’s worth by the value […]

Interest Rates & the Long-Broad Trend

October 10, 2018

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; I cannot tell you how much I respect your work and your computer. It is so obvious that you have been correct on every market. Even last year at the WEC you warned that interest rates would continue to rise and the stock market would not Crash and Burn. My hat is off […]

Bonds & The Record High Short Position Can Majority Be Wrong?

October 8, 2018

  QUESTION: Hi Marty, Can you help us better understand the dynamics of the sovereign debt crisis as it relates to US Treasuries? I know we are in a global debt crisis, which will also impact US Treasuries but it seems like short treasuries is the current consensus (I believe they are currently at the biggest […]

Directional Changes & the Worst in 40-Years

September 21, 2018

QUESTION: Marty; Your directional changes are amazing. They signal a change but it can be a turn as well as a sudden blast to the upside. You also mention that this is the worst you have ever seen personally in 40 years on the private blog. Could you elaborate? Thank you for being here. There are […]

Real Estate & Understanding The Role of Debt

August 22, 2018

QUESTION: Dear Sir/Madam Thank you so much for what you all do. I was just reading today’s Blog 17-08-2018 –  ‘ Real Estate – Leverage – Transition to the Reset ‘.   The bit I did not understand was where it was written  ‘ Keep in mind that as the currency declines, then the repayment cost […]

Who is the Fool? The Borrower or the Lender?

August 20, 2018

Many people worry about over-indebtedness and point to a default of borrowers. It is interesting how the view of debt is always the low-life borrower. In reality, the real stupidity rests with the lender. Many are pointing to US corporate debt and stating that it has grown to an estimated US $ 7 trillion and they […]

Fed Upgrades Economy to Strong

August 2, 2018

The talk behind the curtain remains that the Fed is still under pressure to PLEASE don’t raise rates. The lobbying continues from the IMF, ECB, and Emerging Markets. Meanwhile, the Fed leaves rates unchanged, but it upgraded its view of the US economy to ‘strong’ which remains a signal that the Fed is still prone to raise rates […]

August 2, 2018

The talk behind the curtain remains that the Fed is still under pressure to PLEASE don’t raise rates. The lobbying continues from the IMF, ECB, and Emerging Markets. Meanwhile, the Fed leaves rates unchanged, but it upgraded its view of the US economy to ‘strong’ which remains a signal that the Fed is still prone to raise rates […]

European Banks Lending in USA Rather than Europe?

August 1, 2018

European banks have been lending in the United States quiet aggressively because (1) the economy is doing good so there is a demand for loans contrary to Europe, and (2) the behind the curtain view that the euro will decline and the dollar will rise. During the first half of 2017, European banks have lent […]

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