All posts in " Understanding Cycles "

The Shift in the Financial Capitol of the World

October 6, 2016

QUESTION: Hi Martin I am a follower of your blog. I have a question on your post “Financial Capital of the World & Its Migration” dated 30th sep 2016. I was looking at the graph where Y-axis indicates the scale of Economic Progress (in terms of % of world GDP) against time on X-axis. The decline […]

5th Car Bomb Explodes in 2 Days in Spain

October 3, 2016

The expansion of terrorism in Europe is really becoming widespread. This does not look good as we move forward. Unfortunately, our Cycle of War Model we warned began to turn up in 2014 is still far from reaching a peak. The fifth car bomb in just two days has exploded in the northern Spanish city […]

Financial Capitol of the World & Its Migration

September 30, 2016

QUESTION: I am a great admirer of your Socrates model, but there’s one thing in your personal pronouncements that seem to contain a contradiction. On the one hand you are predicting a decline of the U.S.A. and other western economies, mainly caused by excessive government interference in the economy. However, on the other hand you […]

Great Alignment

September 23, 2016

QUESTION: You said in the last gold video that ——— could be the possible big turning point in gold.  Do you also see ——— (or 1st quarter next year) as the time when we see ———  aligning to begin the transition from public to private? JT ANSWER: It may not be January precisely, but the turmoil in […]

The Coming Dark Age

September 20, 2016

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, Thank you for the time you are spending to educate the public about what it really going on. I have followed your work for years, from before you were released from prison. Over the years you have made several comments about directional changes and have alluded to the idea that a crossroads […]

The Infamous Labor Day Event in Markets

September 6, 2016

Of course, the 1929 high took place on September 3rd, the day everyone came back on Tuesday following the summer holidays. It has been a long-standing joke that after spending time with the family, they come back and just sell everything without reason. The 1987 high was on August 25th just before Labor Day. In […]

Cycle of War & Climate Change – A Lethal Combination

August 25, 2016

Historically, crops fail during periods when the weather turns sharply colder. Rising food shortages coincide with rising aggression. This seems to be a link back into ancient times. The way the climate is now turning colder is in direct harmony with the war cycle. Switzerland began recording temperatures in 1864, which provide a good European […]

Government Preparing for Worldwide Civil Unrest – Why?

August 23, 2016

A number of emails have come in asking if we are advising the government since they are now enlisting firms to research a rise in civil unrest. The answer is no! Nevertheless, everyone knows of the accuracy of our computer systems and our cycle of war models. It was the CIA that, after all, came […]

The Panic of 1683 Was the First

August 14, 2016

This is the list of panics I discovered in the library at Princeton University. I simply added the period of 224 years from 1683 to 1907 which yield 8.615 as the common frequency dividing that period by the 26 events. I did not expect this to produce events to the day. The mere fact that […]

Is Value Investing a Safe Bet?

August 10, 2016

QUESTION: What do you think of value investing? Bob ANSWER: As with everything, a cycle that you have to understand will unfold. Everything will move to extremes on both sides and you must understand the driving forces. Look at the PE Ratio. People write in and say I am wrong and the market must crash because […]

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