All posts in " Basic Concepts "

Why the Crash & Burn is Public not Private

By admin / March 18, 2017

QUESTION: Hi Mr. Armstrong, You mentioned the crash and burn applies to government assets, not private sector assets. Can the private sector stand on it’s own two feet? Thanks again, MB ANSWER: There are times when the private sector cannot stand and everyone runs to bonds/cash. Likewise, there are times when government can no longer stand […]


Where to Keep Your Money

By admin / March 12, 2017

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, I am 82 years old and ask the question which is much on my mind—- Where is the best place to park cash in this very difficult time. Right now almost all of my cash is in money market funds with the returns very low, yet there is still risk of loss. I […]


Why You Should Take Delivery

By admin / February 21, 2017

QUESTION: Hi Marty, I just read the latest blog post. Thanks for the advice re: hard assets. I’m wondering though about any asset which is not in one’s personal custody, i.e. stocks in street name. If we suffer a partial collapse don’t you think the banks and brokerages will suffer to the extent of a Bear […]


Connecting the Dots

By admin / January 22, 2017

COMMENT: I read your piece on “The “Trump Revolution” is not about Trump Himself” and I understood this is a global trend. I think one has to be biased and blind not to see the trend is emerging globally. I showed it to a friend and he said you were wrong its all about Trump. […]


Capitalism v Socialism – Good Perspective of the Difference

By admin / January 17, 2017

COMMENT: Martin, A story I received: A guy looked at my Porsche the other day and said I wonder how many people could have been fed for the money that sports car cost. I replied I am not sure, it fed a lot of families in Bowling Green, Kentucky who built it, it fed the […]


Understanding Performance – Socrates v Medallion?

By admin / January 11, 2017

QUESTION: Marty; I invested in your Deutsche Bank hedge fund and the performance was about 3 times that of even the Renaissance’s Medallion fund. Your employees said for the public fund you closed positions early because you were making too much in 1998. Yet that was still about 3 times what Medallion produced in 1998. Medallion is closed […]


Monetary Devaluations & Cancellations

By admin / January 10, 2017

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; What Modi has done here in India is far worse than what the press reports. I read your piece that this is part of a larger plan discussed at the G20 meetings. Is there any historical precedent for such actions that would provide some guidance for the future? R ANSWER: Since ancient times, […]


Forecasting Economic Numbers – Do They Matter?

By admin / January 7, 2017

QUESTION:  Hi Martin, You have mentioned on numerous occasions, that the Socrates has inputs from around the world to come to very accurate conclusions. I assume, it has plenty data from within the USA as well. Can it also predict the NFP? ADP?. (few days BEFORE.) Don ANSWER: We have put in such information from […]


Connecting the Dots

By admin / January 3, 2017

QUESTION: I find your explanation of how everything is connected very insightful. So events go nuts in Europe and that sends capital fleeing to America as in World War I and II. Am I correct in saying it is not possible to manage an economy in isolation? Thanks for making my mind work HW ANSWER: […]


Everything is Connected – Connecting the Dots

By admin / January 2, 2017

Trying to understand forecasting will be critical as we move forward. The HUGE turning point appears to be 2018 and that is most likely when things will start to come unglued. How do I even make such a statement? This is not a claim that I make based upon some gut feeling. I arrive at […]

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