Will Hillary be Indicted in 2017? Cycles Look Like that is the Outcome!

October 30, 2016

Comey-James FBI-Portrait

Justice officials Attorney General Loretta Lynch and Deputy Attorney General Sally Yates disagreed with FBI Director James Comey’s decision to notify Congress about the bureau’s review of Hillary emails. Both did not agree playing it technical whereby the Department of Justice (DOJ) does typically announce they are investigating something. Of course, NY State did so with Trump clearly designed to be political. Comey didn’t seek their approval but Lynch had improperly met with Bill Clinton during the investigation and should have been fired for that. She in turn put everything on Comey’s shoulders saying she would accept whatever he said.

Comey is the one who is under fire internally within the FBI who feel he was being political by NOT indicting Hillary. Obama began campaigning for Hillary the very day Comey said he would not recommend and indictment. This decision to tell Congress was his alone and he did not seek their approval. He knows if Hillary came to office he would never remain anyhow and any wrongdoing would never come to light.

Instead, Comey made a totally independent decision to go against longstanding Justice Department and FBI practice to not comment publicly about politically sensitive investigations. But Hillary has used his “no indictment” as an endorsement. Comey’s fingerprints will be all over this issue one way or another.

Comey has explained his decision saying: “We don’t ordinarily tell Congress about ongoing investigations, but here I feel an obligation to do so given that I testified repeatedly in recent months that our investigation was completed.” Comey added: “I also think it would be misleading to the American people were we not to supplement the record.”

2017 Countdown

Other agents will leak info anyway because they were unanimously in favor of indicting Hillary to start with. Any way we slice this, a Hillary win will be devastating insofar as the next two years will be intense filled with scandals and would more likely than not end in impeachment. On July 27, 1974, the House Judiciary Committee voted 27–11 to recommend the first article of impeachment against the president Richard Nixon for obstruction of justice. The House then recommended the second article, abuse of power, on July 29, 1974.

When we look at the cyclical aspect, 43 years from 1974 (50% of 86-year wave) will be 2017. The previous cycle interval was 1931, when debate on the floor of the Senate echoed words claiming that even a “dictatorship” was better than the pains of depression supporting suggestions of communism or socialism was the way out. Then, the following year, Congressman Louis Thomas McFadden twice introduced impeachment resolutions against President Herbert Hoover.

Hoover lost the 1932 election, so impeachment proceedings just died. When I posed this question to our main computer system, it came back with this result.

Hillary Watergate

It appears that IF Hillary is elected, we will see impeachment proceedings begin by the summer of 2017. Looks like what goes around, comes around. Hillary fought to get Nixon impeached on “obstruction of justice” which she is guilty of at the very least. This is not going to be a walk in the park for Hillary and her refusal to shut down the Clinton Foundation handing it to Chelsea, is only inviting a complete continuation of the scandal pay-for-play. Hillary does not know when to back-off. She constantly pushed the envelop. If she loses to Trump, she will blame Comey.

Let’s face the facts. Our computer does not make emotional or political calls. It has no personal bias as humans. It is what it is. This new evidence is starting to change the game behind the curtain from all our sources fundamentally. Very interesting. Perhaps the computer will be right at the end of the day. The the government wanted the code for our model, it was not about forecasting markets. It was about the rise and fall of governments, civil unrest, and war. They were not concerned if the Dow or gold rose or fell. It was politics only.

Earthquake Due in Italy?

October 30, 2016

 

There has been a rise in earthquake activity in the vicinity of Rome. It appears this is starting to intensify once again.

Did Comey Come Out Precisely on Target of the ECM?

October 30, 2016

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QUESTION: Marty, Comey came out right on the day of the ECM to announce a continued investigation into Hillary. Is this the key focus for this target?

ANSWER: It certainly appears to be spot on. The fact that it hit to the day is normally the sign this is an important event. So follow this one. It also looks like Hillary will be indicted or impeached starting in 2017.

Hillary – Weinergate – Abedin New Scandal – Indictment Now?

October 29, 2016

ny-post-stroking-gunThe New York Post is doing the best job on explaining this latest scandal. They have the 302s which are FBI reports of interviews. They clearly show that Huma Abedin is either an idiot not qualified for chief of staff, which she has been promised, or she is guilty of violating security and lying to FBI agents that are another round of felonies.

huma-abedin-weinerA separate team of FBI agents not politically restrained by Obama, found thousands of State Department-related emails containing classified information on the electronic devices belonging to Weiner and his wife. You see, remember Weingate when Huma’s husband was sending pictures of his penis to women? It turns out, the FBI was investigating Congressman Anthony Weiner for sexting an underage girl of just 15 years old. In this case, the FBI acted as a normal investigation. They walk in and seize everything instead of requesting it as they did with Clinton and then waited for her to delete 50% of the emails.

Therefore, this separate FBI team seized Abedin and Weiner’s devices so they have much of the otherwise “personal” emails Hillary erased to cover her trail. In the 302 investigative 11-page report interviewing Abedin, on page 3, the agents explained that they showed Abedin a classified paper on Pakistan sent from a State Department source, which she had forwarded to her personal Yahoo email account. It now can be shown that her breach of security was by no means an isolated event, but a regular practice.

At the very least, Abedin should be indicted. There is no possible way her handling of classified documents would allow her to be chief of staff in the White House. The discovery of these emails by a separate team of FBI agents has forced FBI Director James Comey to reopen the case just 11 days from the election. Under any normal situation, Hillary should step down for the good of the country. But we know you would have to drag her off the stage by the hair to say the least. This is all about her being the first feminist president and it will be retribution time.

Sun’s Drop in Energy Output Stronger than Expected

October 29, 2016

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I have been warning that global warming is really a hoax, for the major issue is that the sun is a thermodynamic system, which means that it does not provide a steady output. There is a 300-year cycle to this entire phenomenon.

Experts say that solar activity has fallen to levels not seen since the mini-ice age that took place between 1645 and 1715 known as the Maunder Minimum.

While the global warming advocates want to blame everything on CO2 levels, hard evidence from ice core samples indicate that spikes in CO2 levels trailed increases in global temperature by about 200 years. This has caused people to question the validity of their theories. Of course, the cycle with CO2 level spikes predates human activity with combustion engines by hundreds of thousands of years.

Environment Minister Hendricks of the EU wants to regulate cow farting, claiming that it creates more global warming than cars.

Volcanoes can—and do—influence the global climate. Mount Tambora erupted in 1816 and threw so much ash into the air that it snowed during the summer in New York City. The event became known as “18-hundred-and-froze-to-death.”

The problem is that global warming is like trying to analyze a market by only looking at short positions and never the longs. CO2 levels are an aspect, but the major aspect remains the energy output of the sun that dictates the major cycle, which is heading back into a cooling phase that no degree of CO2 levels will overcome.

The FBI Reopens Hillary’s Emails – Too Hot to Handle

October 29, 2016

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Hillary may not be laughing much longer. The FBI has sent a letter to Congress stating that new emails have surfaced and they are investigating new leads. Hillary Clinton’s email controversy has bubbled up once again as FBI Director James Comey told lawmakers the bureau is reviewing new emails related to her personal server. Comey has come out and said he will detail more facts. Even Watergate journalist Carl Bernstein commented on the FBI’s shocking Friday afternoon announcement that they are reopening the investigation into Hilary Clinton’s email server because new evidence has come to light would not do so unless it was compelling.

The RELIABLE sources from behind the curtain (1) say the Wikileaks has made the FBI look like fools, besides I reported previously that those working on the case unanimously believed she should be indicted. (2) the latest “new” emails go all the way to Obama and it appears that Hillary didn’t like reading long emails on her Blackberry. She was first sending them to Huma would then print them out for Hillary. Huma did not delete them so now they have the whole batch. This is the latest running around behind the curtain for they surfaced from another department when they were looking into allegation of Huma’s husband texting underage girls.

James B. Comey, said the emails had surfaced in an unrelated case, which law enforcement officials said was an F.B.I. investigation into illicit text messages from Mr. Weiner to a 15-year-old girl in North Carolina. Mr. Weiner, a former Democratic congressman from New York, is married to Huma Abedin, the top aide.

Mr. Comey’s letter said that the FBI would review the emails of Huma to determine if they improperly contained classified information, which is tightly controlled by the government. Mr. Comey said in his letter that the emails “appear to be pertinent.” To do this 11 days before the election is rather significant. There are other claims that a Hillary victory would have to be nullified and others say it would justify Obama using martial law to suspend the election and stuff in place Joe Biden. A lot is flying behind the curtain right now.

Market Talk – October 28, 2016

October 28, 2016

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The Nikkei continued its march despite the weakness seen in other Asian markets as currency continues to be the counterbalance. In late morning trade we did see a retracement back towards unchanged level but that was short-lived and as soon as the afternoon session resumed trading the buyers lifted it again and we closed near the highs of the day.

Europe traded heavy initially on the back of data but really wanted to wait for US GDP, especially ahead of next week! Even though we saw some poor results from banks (UBS and RBS), it would appear shares had priced much of that in for todays release. Next week we have the election and the FED. It should be no surprise we trade nervous into the weekend especially when we see results like Amazon (30% miss this morning)! US opening in sympathy with Europe but starting to recover as data picks-up and traders square off ahead of the weekend.

As we approach month end and on the edge of the holiday season, there is just so much at stake next week that money begins to move for safety. Cash is being hoarded according to much of todays press, gold has rallied in the past couple of hours and the markets feel very nervous ahead of the FED and the US elections. We shall provide more of an update once we see the closing numbers on Monday but oil is one market we should keep an eye on over the next few days.

After yesterdays excitement the Bond market was reasonably well behaved today. US 2’s closed 0.86% and 10’s at 1.84%. Bunds did have a volatile day but closed almost unchanged at 0.165% (that closes US/Germany spread at +167.5bp. Italy 10’s lost more ground closing 1.58% (+5bp), Greece 8.21%, Turkey +7bp at 9.82%, Portugal 3.31% (+5bp) and UK Gilts 1.26% (+1bp).

Market Talk October 27th, 2016

October 28, 2016

Market-Talk -R

Energy prices were hit quite quickly after a significant bounce upon the EIA news and that played out overnight in Asia. Energy stocks dragged the Hang Seng lower again today with the index closing down around 0.8% on the day. In Japan BOJ governor, Kuroda, said that he would not be surprised if long term JGB’s (>10yrs) yields were to rise a little. The Nikkei took this negatively, but then has recovered in futures trading since the -0.3% cash decline. It did start a bit of a sell-off in JGB’s in Japan but is also unnerving bond markets in Europe – probably more a realisation that manipulating the bond market does not create growth.
Deutsche Bank and Barclay’s earnings dominated the talk as the release beat forecasts but it was short-lived as economic data was soon to take the lead headline. UK Q3 GDP beat expectations of 0.3% with a print of 0.5% but below the previous 0.7% in Q2. It is significant in that the data is post the BREXIT vote and this morning we continue to watch the Gilt market re-price the BOE pre-vote alarms. GBP was the point of pressure as we saw the currency lose 0.75% against the USD on the day. Other core indices closed marginally unchanged (DAX +0.01%; CAC -0.01% and IBEX +0.1%) as the focus was more fixed-income that equity.
The US market opened on a positive note early session as it benefited from both currency declines and marginally better economic data (Home Sales est. +1.2% actual +1.5%). Durables were lower than forecasts but as it is such a volatile release it was considered acceptable within the range. However, the currency reversed course which turned stocks small negative and was hit as oil declined. By the close stocks were off small with the NASDAQ the poor relation closing 0.5% lower on the day.
Lots of nerves in the Bond markets today with economic data, the BOJ comment and additional supply all unsettling a market that is, not only due a correction has finally started to question the effectiveness of QE! After-all, Japan has hidden behind it since the early 90’s and has still not recovered! All core markets were hit with US curve steepening 4bp today 2/10’s.. 2’s closed 0.89% against a 1.85% 10’s. Europe certainly wobbled today after they heard Kuroda’s comment around Super-long JGB’s and all that led to 10yr Bunds losing 9bp to close 0.17% today. This puts the US/Germany spread at +168bp (2.5bp tighter than yesterday). Italy 10’s closed 1.53% (+8bp), Greece 8.21% (+12bp), Turkey 9.75% (+5bp) also TRY lost over 1% against USD today – weakest in many years; Portugal 3.25% (+8bp) and finally UK Gilts 1.25% +10bp and the currency lost 0.75%.

Did Something Happen of the ECM Turning Point?

October 28, 2016

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bundy-brothersDid something happen on the October 28th, 2016 turning point? Just maybe what clicked yesterday was the tipping point against government. The Bundys, who were the armed antigovernment protesters led by Ammon and Ryan Bundy, were acquitted precisely going into the 28th of federal conspiracy and weapons charges. Since the Federal government’s abuse of “conspiracy” where they do not actually have to prove you committed a crime just wanted to, their conviction rate has soared to over 98%. To be acquitted of these charges is a mind-blowing event when it is virtually impossible to win in court when juries just assume the government walks on water.

The protest at Malheur National Wildlife Refuge over the government’s claim to land ended in bloodshed and the police shot and killed unarmed man getting out of his car and then were shooting at women and children in their car. The attitude of some police has degenerated to the point we are the enemy to be hunted and killed for their pleasure. The FBI effectively just murdered one individual. The FBI special agent in charge, Greg Bretzing, said, “They had ample opportunity to leave the refuge peacefully.” He continued, “And as the FBI and our partners have clearly demonstrated, actions are not without consequences.” Well the jury has acquitted those who stood up against this government’s outrageous abuse. Where the blacks are going wrong with Black Lives Matter, they are isolating themselves. They should create a movement that ALL LIVES MATTER and then there will be greater strength in numbers across all races, religions, and genders.

Why do I see this verdict on the very day of the Economic Confidence Model important and not just a passing moment? The ultimate revolution against monarchy that gave birth to the United States and the French Revolution, began with juries standing up against government abuse. It just may be that history is repeating here as well.

trial-william-pennThe most famous trial where a jury stood up refusing to find the defendant guilty in the face of a corrupt government, was that of William Penn, the founder of Pennsylvania. In 1670, William Penn held a worship service on a quiet street, which was attended by a peaceful group of fellow Quakers. Penn and another Quaker, William Mead, were arrested on a charge of disturbing the king’s peace and summoned to stand trial.

As the two men entered the courtroom and the bailiff ordered them to place their hats back on, which they had removed. Then the judge held them in contempt of court for being in the courtroom with their hats on. Penn demanded to know upon what crime he was being charged for preaching. The judge refused to supply any information whatsoever as to his crime and instead referred vaguely to the common law. When Penn protested that he was entitled to a specific indictment, he was removed from the presence of the judge and jury denied the right to defend himself. Penn could neither confront the witnesses who accused him of preaching to the Quakers nor ask them questions about their charges against him.

Finally, after the testimony the court concluded, the judge instructed the jury to find the defendants guilty as charged, dictating what verdict he expected. Penn tried to protest, but was silenced and again sent out of the courtroom. The jury, for its part, proved sympathetic to the two defendants and refused the judge’s command to find the defendants guilty just as we have seen in the Bundy case. The judge at this point became enraged and sent the jury back to reconsider their verdict. When they returned with the same verdict, the judge criticized the jury’s leader, Bushnell, and demanded “a verdict that the court will accept, and you shall be locked up without meat, drink, fire, and tobacco…We will have a verdict by the help of God or you will starve for it.”

Thereafter, the jury was sent back three more times, but returned with the same verdict. Finally, the jury refused to reconsider. The judge then fined each member of the jury forty marks and ordered them imprisoned until the fine was paid. Penn and Mead went to prison anyway, held in contempt for obeying the bailiff’s order that they put on their hats. Later, the members of the jury won a writ of habeas corpus and were released from prison. Penn and Mead left England after their release from prison, having a taste of justice, and sailed to America. (Earl Warren, “A Republic, If You Can Keep It”, p. 113-115)

The Case of William Penn was a major turning point. Just perhaps, yesterday’s verdict will be viewed as a tipping point in our struggle for freedom from a growing abusive and intrusive government that has lost its way and drunk with power.

As we now head into the next turning point next November, we will have the French and German elections. If both incumbents lose, we may be looking at the final break-up of the EU.

Trading Presidents

October 28, 2016

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The markets are coiling and do not know what to make of all the scandals being released. A Reuters polls shows that 70% of Republicans believe the election will be rigged. This is what the computer has been projecting that 2015.75 was the peak in government. Trump has risen to the top not for any personal quality or that he is the best person for the job. This really has nothing to do with Trump as a person. He just happened to be there at the right time.

Trump has brought in more people to the Republican Party who just never bothered to listen to the people to begin with. You hear people talking about revolution if Hillary is elected. This chatter is rising and I am really surprised for I have personally encountered people talking openly about this waiting in line just at Starbucks. This too the computer has forecast, not that a “revolution” will take place, but a rise in civil unrest.

Trump has tapped into disenfranchised people from several groups. There were the fiscal conservative Reagan Democrats, the Tea Party, the Henry Ross Perot supporters, Pat Buchanan supporters, and people who simply ignored politics of both parties.  The Republican Party took them in, but said shut up and listen. John Boehner held his introduction to Capitol Hill when all the Tea Party people were elected. They refused to knuckle down and that was really the beginning of this new trend that is really a populist movement.

While I personally would like to see a fair and honest government, that is like a girl winning Miss American and wishing for world peace. The computer simply has been correct that this is the start of the political meltdown. It is astonishing that the Democrats did not put Joe Biden up rather than Hillary, who is really the poster child for everything gone bad in politics. Unfortunately, there is nobody else other than Trump to lead the charge right now and he has merely fueled the the diehard Democrats who see everything Hillary does as a conspiracy against her. They refuse to even realize that 65% of Americans do not trust Hillary and that is a greater percentage than anyone has ever been elected by since 1900. So just how crazy is this getting?

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Hillary is so bad and dishonest it is hard to know just how bad the world economy will turn down. We may simply move into a Waterfall type event for what appears on the horizon is a Phase Transition. We have a 5,000 year low in interest rates so there is no place to run in the debt markets. Sure there is gold. But that is really for the individual, not the big money. Real Estate is coming under massive regulation and the Dodd Frank regulations have made it harder now to get mortgages and that will simply weigh heavily on a market unable to recover. The only thing left in town for the majority of people and big money will be equities. There is simply no other place to hide.

A Trump victory would bring to the table a whole different battle. He is for term limits for Congress and that is essential to clean things up down there. But let us face the facts. There is no way Trump can reverse the economic implosion so we are going down anyway, it is just with Hillary we may plunge into 2020 really hard. It is unlikely that Trump will succeed in changing Capitol Hill, and the two talked about scenarios behind the curtain are the martial law using a Trump victory and blaming it on Putin, or the Electoral College will still hand it to Hillary, which may cause even more of civil unrest. Any way we slice this mess, there does not appear to be a nice calm solution on the horizon.

All the scandals, conspiracy theories about murders and money, this simply reflects how far we have fallen in our respect for government.

This is the second election in the Year from Political Hell. We have two more – France and Germany. The markets are creating a base and that is what is essential to create a Phase Transition. You must coil first and then pop. The markets are coiling as everyone holds their breath waiting for the result.

So why I have reported the scandals and tried to show what both sides are saying from FOX News to MSNBC, this is important to always understand the thinking process even when you do not agree with how they reason to reach some logic. My father was a colonel under General Patton who beat Romul in North Africa because he read his book on tactical tank warfare. If you understand what the opposition is thinking, you will understand how to react. All this news and scandal puts flesh on the bones and helps us see just how nuts this really is going to get.

We had a turning point in the ECM yesterday. Is this the shift in sentiment that begins and will be manifested in the vote? We will soon see.

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