Today, any information ahead of something like a rate hike is seen as insider trading. But back during the 1970s going into 1981, things were different. The banks were not big proprietary traders. I would routinely get a call that the Fed would raise rates in 15 minutes. It was not that someone was trying […]
QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; You have said that the only way to reverse the deflation is to raise interest rates not lower them. I understand that the low rates only reduce the cost of funds for banks, but it hallows-out savings and pensions. Has anyone listened to you and tried the opposite trend to raise interest […]
QUESTION: Numerous people have asked: Does the FED actually also see these trends coming (strong US dollar, bond crash) ? K. ANSWER: Yes. The Fed has sent people to the major banking houses and told them outright that their models are wrong. They have been telling them quietly that there may not be a […]
The U.S. Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged yet strongly indicated that it could still tighten monetary policy by the end of this year as the labor market improved further. Wages are actually rising because the work force is aging actually reducing the availability of workers in many skilled areas other than doctors, lawyers, and politicians. […]
QUESTION: Is there a correlation between the GDP rate and interest rate ? Best regards, BL ANSWER: No. What central bankers fail to take into consideration is that the interest rate is the OPPORTUNITY COST of money as reflected into the future. This is why interest rates naturally decline during a recession because of the future expectation of what […]
QUESTION: Dear Mr. Armstrong, I am really confused regarding long-term interest rates – I had thought they were controlled by the markets – but it seems at time that the central banks control them by buying the governments debt. Can you shed some light on this? Can the central banks just keep printing and buying […]
QUESTION: Dear Mr. Armstrong, I am really confused regarding long term interest rates – I had thought they were controlled by the markets – but it seems at time that the central banks control them by buying the governments debt. Can you shed some light on this? Can the central banks just keep printing and […]
We are beginning to see interest rates rise globally in the free market. After BREXIT exposed the crisis in Europe, the rates began to rise in the peripherals. That will move closer toward the core. The Fed will respond only when the capital sees what is unfolding in Europe and shifts to the States. The […]
Janet Yellen’s remarks today confused the people who think the world turns on the Jobs numbers since they remain clueless with respect to the changing trend in employment. They do not take into consideration the technology shift, so they are still trying to trade from 20th-century concepts. Yellen gave an outlook of the U.S. economy […]
QUESTION: Hi Marty! I am reading and studying your blogs and Socrates for quite some time and I would really like to thank you for all the insights! Some days I listen to bloomberg radio for knowing what ‘they’ are saying about the market developments. As I am not an experienced trader as you are, […]
