All posts in " Understanding Cycles "

Time is Always Fixed – Crude is the Example

March 6, 2023

QUESTION: Thank you for the interesting update on Crude & Natural Gas previously. Since Feb was a Directional Change and March is a turning point, then the cycle inversion for a March high rather than a low looks still choppy with no breakout. Since electric car demand has peaked, the Fed seems determined to get […]

Markets & Starlings

March 1, 2023

COMMENT: Hi Martin, Your blog, “Model & the 1991 Collapse of the USSR” for me was a major thought process change. I believed in the Random Walk down Wallstreet, not any more. The chaos model example of the Dow Jones reminds me of the migration of the starlings – link attached. I had a pet […]

Model & the 1991 Collapse of USSR

February 28, 2023

https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/1991-WEC-SP500.mp4   COMMENT: Marty, I remember your 1991 conference when you said Russia looked like it would collapse by the end of the year. I think it was December 31st when Gorbachev resigned. But I also remember how we were talking about how key reversals were still reappearing but migrating to different time levels. You […]

Understanding Cycles

December 28, 2019

  QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; I met someone who used to work for you. He said your models are far more complex than anyone imagines and that it is not a simple algorithm. He said you have relied on quantum mechanics which is why nobody has been able to duplicate what you do. Would you care […]

Sports Peaked with 2015.75 and NFL Has 15,000 Unsold seats

December 23, 2019

COMMENT: Marty; Your forecast that sports peaked with the ECM 2015.75 and would decline was really amazing. Socrates is monitoring everything and your explanation that sports would peak and decline was part of the cycle has proved that there are so many trends all interconnected. Fantastic forecast nobody else even thought about. GH REPLY: Yes, […]

Reversals – Energy – A Different Dimension

September 18, 2019

QUESTION: Hi Marty… I’ve been reading your blog for several years now. I’ve been trying to understand the basics about your reversal system is with no luck. Yet I’ve been trading stocks with only simple trend lines for years using basic tech A. PS I still don’t even understand how the Federal Reserve works either… […]

Decline in Craftsmanship Between the 1st and 3rd Centuries

May 17, 2019

COMMENT: I took the tour of the Vatican museum and the sculpture collection is unsurpassed. It was great that a pope told the people to bring statues to the Vatican rather than destroy them as some pagan god. The guide also pointed out how the best art was the first century and the quality diminished […]

China the Coming Financial Capital of the World

May 13, 2019

QUESTION: Dear Martin, During the WEC in Rome you’ve mentioned that center of finance moving to Asia after 2032. I’m wondering if work ethics from a country with no religion can be sustainable for so many years? My assumption is if the religion helped to shape the Europe’s success (and not any other part of […]

The End of Diversification?

May 8, 2019

Recent years there has been a shift in how various assets classes are trading. There is emerging a high degree of positive correlation among various financial asset classes that have many concerned since it is not conforming with the perceived historic norms. Many are reading into this as a warning of what is to come. […]

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