All posts in " Understanding Cycles "

Perhaps We have Just Grown too Old reaching 235 Years – Dream On

January 6, 2024

  Theme Song for the 2024 Election   [Verse 1] Every time​ that I look in the mirror All these lines on my face getting clearer The past is gone It went by like dusk to dawn Isn’t that the way? Everybody’s got their dues in life to pay, yeah [Interlude] I know nobody knows […]

Central Banks & Complexity

December 21, 2023

  QUESTION: Why do you seem to be the only analyst who understands central banking? My son got an internship at one of the major banks in New York during the summer. I won’t say which bank, but he asked a senior-level guy there about you and the interest rates, explaining I had been following […]

Beware the 8th Decade

December 4, 2023

  QUESTION #1: Marty, I watched Kim Inverson on the 8th decade of Israel and the legend that it will fall. There is nobody more qualified than you to speak on this subject. What do you think? Rob QUESTION #2: Hello, Ever hear of the Curse of the 8th Decade? It deals with Israel and […]

PRIVATE BLOG – The Object of it All

November 29, 2023

PRIVATE BLOG – The Object of it All Private blog posts are exclusively available to Socrates subscribers. To sign-up for Socrates or to learn more, please visit Ask-Socrates.com. https://ask-socrates.com/

Are Brenner & Kondratieff Waves Valid in Commodities?

March 25, 2023

QUESTION: Hello Martin, I have been reading you since your handwritten and from memory letters were getting out from your incarceration. You are truly an amazing man sir. I realize that both the Kondratieff and the Brenner cycles are mostly just coincidental to market cycles today but my question is are both the Kondratieff and […]

Brenner & Kondratieff Waves v Economic Confidence Model

March 25, 2023

COMMENT: Marty, I began following you in 1985. That is when everyone was using the Kondratieff Wave and admitted it averaged 45 to 60 years. They were all predicting another Great Depression. You were the only one right back then as well. I remember your advertisement in the Economist saying a new Private Wave was […]

Chaos & the Secret Order to Everything

March 18, 2023

Economics is the ONLY field where cycles are denied. Moreover, people do not even comprehend how COMPLEXITY emerges. Alan Turing was a brilliant mathematician who is probably the father of computers for he built the really first computer to break the German Enigma Machine. He invented the computer and broke the German Enigma Code. You […]

There no such thing as Random Walks in Markets or Economics

March 15, 2023

  COMMENT: Marty, I really cannot thank you enough. Socrates called yesterday as the turning point and it was the strongest one of the week. We got the bounce when everyone was in a panic state claiming that the Fed would not have to lower rates. They really do not understand central banks as you […]

Where to Go?

March 14, 2023

A lot of people have been asking where to go, what bank is safe, and what’s next? This is by no means over. The fiscal mismanagement is off the charts and we have a major clash with the Marxist views of the Democrats who always want to punish the rich and then ask them for […]

The Myth of Fair Value

March 13, 2023

QUESTION: If the metals are not trading at a fair value relative to everything else, then does that not prove they are manipulated? SN   ANSWER: Your problem is the assumption that everything must be trading at some fair value. That is up there with the theory of random walks.  ALL markets trade for periods […]

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