All posts in " Understanding Cycles "

The Next Major Shift in Society

May 6, 2019

QUESTION: Do you see this new age of the internet destroying jobs that result in a Great Depression as you have illustrated with the advancement of the combustion engine in altering the agricultural economy as we move into the future? What is the future for our children? Thank you KL ANSWER: Society historically moves through […]

There Are No Coincidences – Why History Repeats

April 18, 2019

QUESTION: Martin Today is Palm Sunday. In mass, they said HE colluded with the Galilean’s. HE was found innocent by the Council. They said HE was a tax evader. HE was found innocent by new leadership. HE correctly predicted that HE would be denied by his own party 3 times. The corrupt crowd lobbied to release […]

Keeping it Simple Keeps you Stupid

March 27, 2019

There was a 14th-century Franciscan friar by the name of William of Ockham who is credited with having formalized the principle that “simpler solutions are likely to be more correct than complex ones.” Hence, we seem to always try to reduce everything to a single cause and effect. Some have rephrased this as “keep it simple, stupid,” […]

Understanding Rogue Waves

March 26, 2019

Over the centuries, sailors have told legends of monster waves that would appear out of nowhere in the middle of the open sea. Most scientists dismissed the stories as fabrications and legends. These stories were reported over the centuries by sailors who repeatedly saw these rogue waves of gigantic proportions rise up from nothing far above the […]

The Rally Beyond 2015 in the Dow Has Proven We are in a Cycle Inversion

March 20, 2019

QUESTION: There are many people who are now saying we are headed into a recession. Your model shows we are coming to the end. Yet you have been the only analyst who has been correct. There are bankers warning the stock market will collapse by 50% because it always goes down in a recession. I […]

When is Forecasting Not Forecasting?

March 14, 2019

QUESTION: There are a number of people who claim to have called the 2008 crash. What I find absent is that there is no one who brags on calling the rallies and crashes as you have and I have witnessed from going to your WECs since 1985. I still remember you in 1985 standing up […]

Fashions Turning to Civil Unrest for Inspiration

February 28, 2019

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; I am in the fashion industry and it becomes painfully obvious that there are cycles in fashion. You have mentioned before the economic correlations of the rise and fall of women’s skirts and how men’s ties widen and then narrow. What do you make of this year’s fashions that seem to be […]

Warren Buffett Loses Billions

February 27, 2019

QUESTION: It is no secret that you went head to head against Warren Buffett in his silver manipulation. He is having a very bad year with his buy and hold value strategy. It looks like without making billions on the side manipulation of commodities, he is no better a fund manager than anyone else. Care to […]

Internal Migration – The Cycle or City States

January 28, 2019

  There is an interesting book entitled The Chinese Exodus. This work explores the sociological and theological discussion going on concerning China’s internal migration since the marketization reform in 1978. While the book documents the social and political processes impacting the experiences of internal migrants from the countryside to the city within China, the attempt […]

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