All posts in " Understanding Cycles "

The Cycle of Disease – It’s Just our Time

By admin / January 18, 2018

COMMENT: Sir, It’s interesting, since your post on Madagascar and the pneumonic plague, I have Surveilled a site dealing with medical news once a week. What’s really interesting is the resurgence of older well-known entities such as cholera Zambia has been hard hit with over 2000 cases of cholera with close to 50 deaths. The university […]


2018 – Panic Cycle Year

By admin / January 15, 2018

QUESTION: Mr. Armsyrong; Thank you for an eye-opening conference. Can’t wait for this year. You said 2018 was a Panic Cycle Year and that it would be unlikely to create an outside reversal in the Dow, but we should expect wild times ahead. Is this panic cycle impacting many other markets as well? JV ANSWER: […]


TIME is more than Money – It is EVERYTHING

By admin / January 12, 2018

TIME is more than just money; it’s absolutely everything and then some! Personal opinion just utterly fails because we are all human. Markets routinely do what the majority never expects. That is their function. They mutate like a virus always changing its genetic code to defeat medicine, or in this case, traders. This why most […]


Understanding Cycles & Dynamic Interconnectivity

By admin / January 2, 2018

COMMENT: Mr. Armstrong; I really do not think the world respects your work. I read on your blog there was going to be a bad flu from Australia that would hit Britain. Then a few days later, the headline here is all about what you forecast. You really have to go public and let people […]


Why Models Fail

By admin / January 2, 2018

  QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; Did AIG use the Black-Scholes Model and that is what created the crisis again in 2007? WJ ANSWER: No. It’s my understanding that AIG developed different models, they called a “Value-at-Risk Model,” (VaR) which used a binomial-expansion-technique to start valuing their positions. I believe the original model was developed at Moody’s. However, like the Black-Scholes […]


Iran Political Clarification

By admin / January 1, 2018

COMMENT: Two things:   “He is remembered for publicly stating that Israel should be wiped off the face of the Earth.”   Although he is indeed remembered in the West for ‘saying’ that, the truth is that phrase was a gross mis-translation of what he did say in Farsi. Just a simple lie. I don’t think […]


This Flu Season Begins the Risk of a Pandemic 2018-2019

By admin / December 29, 2017

A possible new pandemic is forming from a deadly strain of flu emerging from Australia and will be headed to the UK as the normal flow of travels would take it. Britain will perhaps be hit with the worst flu season in 50 years. Already, there are about 170,000 cases of flu reported in Australia […]


Did the Economic Confidence Model Pick the Trump Tax Reform?

By admin / December 20, 2017

  It is very interesting how the 2017.9 (Nov 24/25) turning point on the Economic Confidence Model has marked a most astonishing political event. The House passed their version of the Trump Tax Reform on Thursday, November 16th, 2017 just 8 days before the ECM target. Then on November 29th, 2017, the Senate passed a procedural vote on […]


Tesla & Frequency

By admin / December 12, 2017

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; Nickolas Tesla’s work agrees with your analysis. He said: “If you want to find the secrets of the universe, think in terms of energy, frequency and vibration.” Has he been an influence in what you do? Thank you GJ ANSWER: No. I have not looked at Tesla’s work only because it is fundamental […]


Cycles Suck

By admin / December 10, 2017

 COMMENT: The market is always wrong, if all people had all information the eurodollar would not move like in casino in either short or long period, it would be quite smooth. And overall I hate money, if all people were good willing there was no need for money, so money equals bad people and there is […]

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