All posts in " Understanding Cycles "

Why Models Fail

By admin / January 2, 2018

  QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; Did AIG use the Black-Scholes Model and that is what created the crisis again in 2007? WJ ANSWER: No. It’s my understanding that AIG developed different models, they called a “Value-at-Risk Model,” (VaR) which used a binomial-expansion-technique to start valuing their positions. I believe the original model was developed at Moody’s. However, like the Black-Scholes […]


Iran Political Clarification

By admin / January 1, 2018

COMMENT: Two things:   “He is remembered for publicly stating that Israel should be wiped off the face of the Earth.”   Although he is indeed remembered in the West for ‘saying’ that, the truth is that phrase was a gross mis-translation of what he did say in Farsi. Just a simple lie. I don’t think […]


This Flu Season Begins the Risk of a Pandemic 2018-2019

By admin / December 29, 2017

A possible new pandemic is forming from a deadly strain of flu emerging from Australia and will be headed to the UK as the normal flow of travels would take it. Britain will perhaps be hit with the worst flu season in 50 years. Already, there are about 170,000 cases of flu reported in Australia […]


Did the Economic Confidence Model Pick the Trump Tax Reform?

By admin / December 20, 2017

  It is very interesting how the 2017.9 (Nov 24/25) turning point on the Economic Confidence Model has marked a most astonishing political event. The House passed their version of the Trump Tax Reform on Thursday, November 16th, 2017 just 8 days before the ECM target. Then on November 29th, 2017, the Senate passed a procedural vote on […]


Tesla & Frequency

By admin / December 12, 2017

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; Nickolas Tesla’s work agrees with your analysis. He said: “If you want to find the secrets of the universe, think in terms of energy, frequency and vibration.” Has he been an influence in what you do? Thank you GJ ANSWER: No. I have not looked at Tesla’s work only because it is fundamental […]


Cycles Suck

By admin / December 10, 2017

 COMMENT: The market is always wrong, if all people had all information the eurodollar would not move like in casino in either short or long period, it would be quite smooth. And overall I hate money, if all people were good willing there was no need for money, so money equals bad people and there is […]


Open the Door to the Universe With Cycles

By admin / December 7, 2017

QUESTION: You wrote: “Once you begin to see the entire universe is governed by the 8.6 frequency, the doors to a hidden order spring wide open.” What do you mean? ANSWER: The journey of our solar system around the center which revolves as the earth does around our sun annually, takes 25,800 years which is three […]


Our Ignorance of Cycles Causes them to Exist?

By admin / November 16, 2017

COMMENT: Mr. Armstrong; First I want to say I greatly admire your work. You are unbiased with markets, politics, and religion. Your cycle which targets 2032, agrees with the Islamic cycle some call the cycle of power which will peak. According to the Quran, there is a cycle of power, and this is mentioned in chapter […]


The Cycle Keeps Going – Everyone Gets their Spot in Fame

By admin / November 5, 2017

QUESTION: Dear Mr. Armstrong, I had stopped watching TV a decade ago. Then one late night in August 2015, for no particular reason, I switch on some Swedish channel, and voila! I see The Forecaster. It shattered me… I’m your faithful follower ever since. If anyone deserves a Nobel in Economics – or Peace – it is […]

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